Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1.671291 1.816337 1.970282 2.146199 2.342095 2.554032 2.801329
2026-02-08 1.431566 1.626584 1.845399 2.110444 2.424570 2.787177 3.240592
2026-02-15 1.282882 1.505553 1.765802 2.095096 2.504414 3.001458 3.658394
2026-02-22 1.201681 1.448410 1.746736 2.138388 2.645566 3.289348 4.183382
2026-03-01 1.113469 1.371314 1.691798 2.125511 2.706679 3.472610 4.582666
2026-03-08 1.033078 1.295737 1.629961 2.094247 2.735184 3.608358 4.923220
2026-03-15 0.950101 1.209852 1.546912 2.025557 2.703258 3.653223 5.132278
2026-03-22 0.906541 1.172312 1.524157 2.035259 2.778235 3.851411 5.582818
2026-03-29 0.876504 1.150393 1.520061 2.069050 2.888048 4.106849 6.145001
2026-04-05 0.846588 1.126306 1.510609 2.093141 2.983497 4.346377 6.705137
2026-04-12 0.816345 1.099646 1.495277 2.106461 3.061995 4.564069 7.250494
2026-04-19 0.784672 1.068957 1.471906 2.105308 3.116503 4.745995 7.752021
2026-04-26 0.741760 1.020495 1.420759 2.059660 3.098759 4.810852 8.059195
2026-05-03 0.706494 0.981473 1.381472 2.029780 3.104011 4.914229 8.448749
2026-05-10 0.678178 0.951273 1.353665 2.015902 3.134022 5.061739 8.938335
2026-05-17 0.665671 0.944027 1.360223 2.057302 3.260086 5.389760 9.824202
2026-05-24 0.641319 0.917495 1.335304 2.045054 3.291478 5.547105 10.381279
2026-05-31 0.614672 0.886197 1.301256 2.015259 3.289077 5.640062 10.812725
2026-06-07 0.581903 0.844026 1.247977 1.949766 3.217465 5.593974 10.934000
2026-06-14 0.567250 0.829667 1.238649 1.959019 3.283157 5.820747 11.696171
2026-06-21 0.558188 0.823709 1.242537 1.991238 3.393647 6.146589 12.734988
2026-06-28 0.547731 0.815007 1.241371 2.014205 3.487866 6.447738 13.761225
2026-07-05 0.535841 0.803451 1.234817 2.026903 3.562731 6.714989 14.745255